The Dunning-Kruger effect (which is a scientific elaboration on a famous quote by Charles Darwin that “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge“) simply states that ignorance results fairly frequently with over confidence and self certainty, even in the face of evidence and body of knowledge suggesting otherwise.

This effect can explain the explosion of media releases and blog articles relating to industry-generated buzz words and ideas that have no logical / rational / scientific evidence behind them, as illustrated in the chart below.

Think about it!

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  4. Pingback: Shane Clauson

    • Beautiful Shane, haven’t come across this term before. One comment though, (and I think I need to do more reading to understand this a bit better), the ‘Hype Cycle’ is about the adoption of technology, whereas the Dunning Kruger effect is about the adoption of ideas. Still, would be an interesting approach to try and marry the two concepts together.


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  6. The Gartner Hype Cycle is more about the (media) hype /around/ a new technology as that technology matures, so its a somewhat derivative effect. But close enough to DK to shed some light on the idea. (aside, curiously the Hype Cycle is something from Gartner that doesn’t involve a quadrant !)


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